1.Gusobanura umubare w'abana bavuka mu karere ka Aziya-Pasifika
Impapuro z'abana ni umwe mu bagize uruhare runini mu kugurisha ibicuruzwa by’isuku bikoreshwa mu karere ka Aziya ituje. Icyakora, umubare w’abaturage w’imibare wagabanije iterambere ry’iki cyiciro, kubera ko amasoko yo mu karere kose ahanganye n’igabanuka ry’abana bavuka. Umubare w'abana bavuka muri Indoneziya, igihugu gituwe cyane mu majyepfo y'uburasirazuba bwa Aziya, uzagabanuka kugera kuri 17 ku ijana mu 2021 uva kuri 18.8 ku ijana mu myaka itanu ishize. Umubare w'abana bavuka mu Bushinwa wagabanutse uva kuri 13% ugera kuri 8%, naho umubare w'abana bafite imyaka 0-4 wagabanutseho miliyoni zirenga 11. Biteganijwe ko mu 2026, umubare w'abakoresha impuzu mu Bushinwa uzaba hafi bibiri bya gatatu by'ibyo byari bimeze muri 2016.
Politiki, impinduka mu myumvire y’imibereho ku muryango n’ubukwe, no kuzamura urwego rw’uburezi ni ibintu by'ingenzi bigira uruhare mu kugabanuka kw'abana bavuka mu karere. Ubushinwa bwatangaje politiki y’abana batatu muri Gicurasi 2021 kugira ngo buhindure imyumvire y’abaturage bageze mu za bukuru, kandi ntibisobanutse niba politiki nshya izagira ingaruka zikomeye ku baturage.
Igurishwa ry’imyenda y’abana bato mu Bushinwa riteganijwe kugera ku iterambere ryiza mu myaka itanu iri imbere, nubwo umubare w’abaguzi ugabanuka. Ugereranije n'ibihugu byateye imbere, Ubushinwa bukoresha umuturage ni buke, ariko haracyari byinshi byo kuzamuka. Nubwo bihenze cyane, ipantaro yipantaro ihinduka ihitamo ryambere kubabyeyi kubera kuborohereza nisuku, kuko bifasha imyitozo yinkono no gutsimbataza ubwigenge bukomeye mubana. Kugirango bigerweho, abayikora nabo bitabira muburyo bwiterambere ryibicuruzwa.
Hamwe n’umuturage umuturage akiri muto kandi n’umubare munini w’abaguzi badakoreshwa muri Aziya ya pasifika, inganda zifite amahirwe yo kurushaho kwinjiza isoko binyuze mu kwagura ibicuruzwa, guhanga ibicuruzwa ndetse n’ingamba zishimishije z’ibiciro. Nubwo, guhanga udushya mu gice cya premium binyuze mu bicuruzwa byongerewe agaciro byongerewe agaciro hamwe n’icyitegererezo cyuzuzanya byafashije igice kuzamuka mu gaciro, ibiciro bihendutse bikomeje kuba ingenzi mu kwemeza ibicuruzwa byagutse.
2. Guhanga udushya n'uburere ni urufunguzo rwo guteza imbere ubuforomo bw'abagore
Ibicuruzwa by isuku yumugore nibyo bigira uruhare runini mu kugurisha ibicuruzwa by’isuku bikoreshwa muri Aziya ya pasifika, haba ku gaciro no ku bwinshi. Mu karere ka Aziya y’Amajyepfo y’Amajyepfo, biteganijwe ko umubare w’abakobwa bafite hagati y’imyaka 12-54 uzagera kuri miliyoni 189 z'amadolari mu 2026, naho icyiciro cyo kwita ku bagore giteganijwe kwiyongera kuri 5% CAGR kigera kuri miliyari 1.9 z'amadolari hagati ya 2022 na 2026.
Kuzamuka kwinjiza amafaranga ateganijwe ku bagore, ndetse n’ingamba zikomeje gukorwa mu burezi n’inzego za Leta n’imiryango idaharanira inyungu kugira ngo bakemure ibibazo by’ubuzima bw’isuku n’isuku, byafashije mu kuzamura ibicuruzwa by’ibicuruzwa no guhanga udushya muri iki cyiciro.
Nk’uko iyi raporo ibigaragaza, 8 ku ijana by'ababajijwe mu Bushinwa, Indoneziya na Tayilande bakoresha ibikoresho by'isuku bikoreshwa. Mugihe ukoresha ibicuruzwa byongera gukoreshwa birashobora gusaba gutekereza kubiciro, abaguzi benshi nabo bashaka uburyo burambye bwibidukikije.
3.Imyaka yo gusaza ifasha iterambere ryimyenda ikuze
Nubwo bikiri bito mu magambo yuzuye, abapapa bakuze nicyo cyiciro cyogukoresha isuku imwe mukarere ka Aziya-pasifika, hamwe n’iterambere ry’imibare imwe mu 2021. Mu gihe Aziya y’amajyepfo y’iburasirazuba n’Ubushinwa bifatwa nk’abakiri bato ugereranije n’amasoko yateye imbere nk’Ubuyapani, guhindura imibare n’abaturage bageze mu za bukuru bitanga umusingi w’abakiriya kugira ngo iterambere ryiyongere.
Igurishwa ry’abakuze mu bucuruzi bwo mu majyepfo y’amajyepfo ya Aziya ryinjije miliyoni 429 z'amadolari mu 2021, biteganijwe ko agaciro ka CAGR kaziyongera 15% muri 2021-2026. Indoneziya ni uruhare runini mu kuzamuka mu majyepfo y'uburasirazuba bwa Aziya. Mu gihe umubare w’abantu barengeje imyaka 65 mu Bushinwa utari hejuru nko mu bihugu nka Singapore cyangwa Tayilande, mu buryo bwuzuye iki gihugu gifite umubare munini w’abaturage, bigatuma habaho amahirwe menshi yo kuzamuka kama. Ku rundi ruhande, Ubushinwa buza ku mwanya wa kabiri nyuma y’Ubuyapani ukurikije ingano y’isoko mu karere ka Aziya-Pasifika, aho ibicuruzwa byagurishijwe miliyoni 972 z'amadolari mu 2021. Biteganijwe ko mu 2026, Ubushinwa buzaba ku mwanya wa mbere muri Aziya, aho ibicuruzwa byagurishijwe byiyongera kuri cagR ya 18% kuva 2021 kugeza 2026.
Nyamara, impinduka z’abaturage ntabwo arizo zonyine zigomba kwitabwaho mugihe dusuzumye ingamba zo kongera inkari zabantu bakuru. Kumenyekanisha abaguzi, gupfobya imibereho no guhendwa bikomeje kuba inzitizi zikomeye zo kongera kwinjira mu karere. Izi ngingo nazo zikunze kugabanya ibyiciro byibicuruzwa byagenewe kugabanuka / gukabije, nkibipapuro byabantu bakuru, bikunze kubonwa nabaguzi nkibidahenze. Igiciro nacyo ni ikintu cyo gukoresha cyane ibicuruzwa bikuze byinkari.
4 .Umwanzuro
Mu myaka itanu iri imbere, kugurisha ibicuruzwa by’isuku bikoreshwa mu Bushinwa no mu majyepfo y’amajyepfo ya Aziya biteganijwe ko bizagera ku iterambere ryiza, bingana na 85% by’iterambere ryuzuye mu karere ka Aziya-Pasifika. N’ubwo imiterere y’abaturage ihindagurika ishobora kuba ubwiyongere bw’imyororokere y’abana bato bishyirwa imbere n’ibibazo byinshi, ariko kongera ubumenyi bw’abaguzi ku bicuruzwa by’isuku bikoreshwa no kunoza uburyo buhendutse, ingeso zo gutsimbarara no guhanga ibicuruzwa bizafasha mu kuzamura icyiciro cy’ibicuruzwa by’isuku bikoreshwa, cyane cyane urebye ko akarere kagifite amahirwe menshi yo kutagerwaho. Icyakora, kugirango uhuze neza ibyo abaguzi baho bakeneye, birakenewe kandi gutekereza ku itandukaniro ry’ubukungu n’umuco muri buri soko nko mu majyepfo y’iburasirazuba bwa Aziya n’Ubushinwa.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Gicurasi-31-2022